+EV picks for football and basketball pick'em

Find the +EV picks on Underdog, PrizePicks and DK Pick6.

Pick'em lines drift from the sportsbooks. Overlay checks every line against a consensus of 13 sportsbooks and exchanges with the juice removed, and ranks every pick by estimated edge. The +EV ones, estimated to hit more often than their payout needs, rise to the top.

Free plan: every league, updated hourly · Premium: $10/month for every sport, 5 days free · For adults 21+

Biggest estimated edges right now

Updated every 15 minutes

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Live from the board: 2 or more sportsbooks behind each line, no long shots, no game starting within 2 hours. Estimates, not guarantees: picks with an edge still lose often. See the full board.
Built for pick'em states

No traditional sportsbook where you live? That's who we built Overlay for.

In the shaded states, pick'em apps like Underdog and PrizePicks operate, but traditional sportsbooks, the kind that take bets at odds, offer no online betting. Why pay for a tool built around traditional sportsbooks you can't use? Overlay reads their prices for you and points them at the only lines you can play: the pick'em ones.

As of October 2026. Which apps and contests are offered changes by state and over time: check each app's rules where you live. Overlay is an information tool and takes no wagers.

Pick'em apps, no online traditional sportsbooksOther states

Alabama, Alaska, California, Georgia, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Wisconsin.

Pick'em sites
Underdog · PrizePicks · DK Pick6
against
Sportsbook consensus
DraftKings · FanDuel · BetMGM · Caesars · BetRivers · ESPN Bet · Pinnacle · Bovada · BetOnline · Hard Rock · Fanatics · Fliff · Novig

Not all books are created equal.

Many books share the same oddsmaker, so counting each one lets a single opinion outvote everyone else. Before we add a book, we test its prices against the ones we use and leave out any that copy another. The goal is an accurate consensus, not a long list.

How it works

Sportsbooks move their lines on real money. Pick'em sites set theirs differently and adjust slower. Overlay measures the gap.

01

We pull every line

Every 15 minutes from 9 AM to 10 PM Central, every 30 overnight: player props from three pick'em sites and 13 sportsbooks and exchanges, from yards and touchdowns to points and rebounds.

02

We strip the juice

Each book's prices become fair chances with the margin removed, combined into a consensus: the middle of the books' prices, so one book's odd price counts for less.

03

We rank the gaps

Every pick'em line gets a hit rate and the break-even its payout demands. The difference is the edge, and the board is sorted by it.

Everything you need to find +EV picks

+EV means positive expected value: by our estimate, the pick hits more often than its payout needs to break even. Every number behind it is one click away, so you can check our work.

Prime Overlays

Marked when two or more sportsbooks price the line and each of them, on its own, puts the pick above what the payout needs, with an estimated edge of 2 points or more. Still estimates, and we publish how they do.

Build my best entry

One click fills an entry from the best estimated edges on your screen, never two that move together, preferring Prime Overlays, while keeping the chance of every leg hitting above a floor.

Every book, one click away

Each sportsbook's line, both prices and fair chance with the juice out. Every row says how many books are behind it, flags a single book, and marks anything modelled.

Line movement

How long each edge has held and what last moved it, the pick'em site's line and price over the last 24 hours, and each book's fair chance three hours ago.

Entry checker

Legs from any league together, scored on Underdog's payouts, PrizePicks Flex and Power, and DK Pick6. It flags same-game legs and thin book coverage.

Kelly stake sizing

A suggested stake from your own bankroll and Kelly fraction, quarter Kelly by default, for positive edges only.

Track your own results

Export any entry to the EV Tracker spreadsheet and see whether the edges hold up for you. Ours are public on the track record, every week shown, good or bad.

Discord alerts

After your first payment, connect Discord from your account page and get an alert when a new Prime Overlay with a large estimated edge appears.

Estimates, not guarantees: +EV picks still lose often.

6Leagues: NFL, CFB, NBA, NCAAB, WNBA, NHL
1,000+Underdog lines compared on a typical NFL week
Every 15 minFrom 9 AM to 10 PM Central on Premium, every 30 minutes overnight

Get +EV edges for free, premium at $10 a month

Most prop tools charge up to $200 a month. Overlay's free plan shows every league's lines, ranked by estimated edge, updated once an hour. Premium is $10 a month for every sport, with no increase planned, and the price you subscribe at stays the same for as long as you stay subscribed.

Football, basketball and hockey are here now: the NFL, college football, the NBA and college basketball, the WNBA in its season, and the NHL in beta. Baseball (MLB) is coming in 2027, in the same plan. See the roadmap.

What you getFreePremium
Every league: NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, WNBA, NHL (beta)IncludedIncluded
Underdog, PrizePicks and DK Pick6 against 13 sportsbooks and exchangesIncludedIncluded
Estimated hit rate and edge on every lineIncludedIncluded
Board updatesEvery hourEvery 15 minutes, 9 AM to 10 PM Central (every 30 overnight)
Entry checker, Kelly sizing and EV Tracker exportsIncludedIncluded
Prime OverlaysNot includedIncluded
Sharp-book stars (Pinnacle, FanDuel and Novig)Not includedIncluded
Novig board: a sports exchange's prices against the sportsbooksNot includedIncluded
Every sportsbook's line and price for a row, with line historyNot includedIncluded
Build my best entryNot includedIncluded
Discord alerts and members' channelsNot includedAfter your first payment
PriceFree$10 a month for every sport

Premium is free for 5 days, then $10/month. Cancel anytime from your account page.

Questions

What does +EV mean?

Positive expected value: a pick whose chance of hitting is higher than its payout needs to break even. That gap is the edge, estimated from the sportsbooks' prices with the juice removed; a +5 edge is 5 points above break-even. Over many picks it's what you want on your side, and any single one can still lose.

Does a positive edge mean a pick will win?

No. It means the price looks favorable against the market. Picks still lose often, and some hit rates are modelled rather than read from a book's price.

Why only 13 sportsbooks?

Several books run on the same oddsmaker's prices, and adding them would count one line two or three times. We test every candidate against the books we use and skip the copies. More books would make the list longer, not the estimate better.

How are PrizePicks and DK Pick6 edges measured?

Against the entry you choose, since both pay by entry size. On PrizePicks a 6-pick Flex needs about 54.2% per leg and a 2-pick Power about 57.7%. On DK Pick6 a 6-pick entry paying 25x (1.5x for one miss) needs about 53.6%, counting an estimate of the extra winnings Pick6 contests often add, the least of any size, so it's the default; a 3-pick paying 6x needs about 54.3%.

How often is the data updated?

On Premium, every 15 minutes from 9 AM to 10 PM Central and every 30 minutes overnight, every day of the week. The free plan's board updates once an hour. The board shows when the lines were pulled and when the next update is due, and warns you if one is late.

Which sports are covered?

NFL and college football; basketball: the NBA, college basketball, and the WNBA in its season; and hockey: the NHL, in beta. Baseball (MLB) is planned for summer 2027. Every sport is on both plans. DK Pick6 posts no college football props.

What's on the free plan?

Every league's board, with each line's estimated hit rate and edge, updated once an hour, plus the entry checker, Kelly sizing and exports. Premium adds updates every 15 minutes from 9 AM to 10 PM Central, Prime Overlays, the sharp-book stars, every sportsbook's prices and line history for each row, Build my best entry, the Novig board and Discord alerts.

Will the price go up?

Premium is $10 a month for every sport, and we have no increase planned. The price you subscribe at stays the same for as long as that subscription stays active. If you cancel and come back later, the price at that time applies.

How does the free trial work?

Premium, free for 5 days. Cancel before it ends and you won't be charged; otherwise it continues at $10/month. Cancel any time from your account page and keep Premium until the end of the period you've paid for; after that you're back on the free plan.

Do you take bets?

No. Overlay is an information tool. You place any entries yourself, on sites that are legal where you live.